tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4314112685994399920.post5491377693570576646..comments2024-03-28T07:44:28.089+11:00Comments on Tasfintalk: Is Hydro insolvent?tasfintalkhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04012719835733649162noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4314112685994399920.post-45510749013123463332016-04-18T10:54:06.640+10:002016-04-18T10:54:06.640+10:00Thanks for your work at TasFinTalk -
My attention...Thanks for your work at TasFinTalk - <br />My attention has been on the Basslink crisis and reading & learning from all the media I can track - so I was glad to find some fresh material at TasFinTalk.<br />I am only a geriatric geologist who would like to be governed on rational principles and enjoys looking at data. <br />I have a blog article -<br />Tasmanian electricity crisis explained day by day - 13 Mar 16<br />http://www.warwickhughes.com/blog/?p=4353<br />There are two charts - the first of Tasmanian daily electricity generation plus imports/exports and demand from 1 Nov 2015 to 10 Mar 2016.<br />The second is a detailed look across the period of the Basslink failure using 5 minute data for seven days 15 to 21 Dec 2015.<br />I have followed the media on the Basslink crisis and nobody has addressed the issue of why -<br />In mid Dec 15 early in the summer dry season -<br />after a second wet season with low rainfall - <br />and at a time of very low and falling dam levels -<br />with debt & liabilities ~between 1 & $2Billion -<br />Hydro felt compelled to suddenly start intermittent exports in mid Dec 2015 -<br />which required them to deplete dam levels even faster -<br />with exports running at times very near the max MW rating for Basslink - <br />which in a few days lead to the Basslink failure.<br />I wonder what net money Hydro/TasGovt hoped to make from those exports?<br />Presumably the risk of crashing Basslink was little considered.<br /><br />Those to me are key questions that I have not seen addressed.<br />Can I recommend NemWatch for real time snapshots of electricity generation by source and by State. WS Hughes in CanberraCJ & WS Hugheshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06616137251446357391noreply@blogger.com