The CBR Act requires a Government to set out its
fiscal strategy and to report its performance at regular intervals.
It also requires Opposition parties to release a
fiscal strategy at election time.
The purpose of a fiscal strategy statement
according to the Act is to establish a benchmark for evaluating the
Government’s fiscal performance; and increase public awareness of the fiscal
policies of the Government and Opposition parties.
This is the first election campaign to which the
CBR Act will apply
The head of Treasury Don Challen issued a media
release on 16th February reminding all parties of their obligations under the
Act by setting out a timetable for those obligations.
Mr Challen has until Wednesday 24th February to
decide whether he needs to update the Government’s latest Mid Year report by
releasing a Pre Election Financial Outlook report. It’s likely that all the $
figures we’ve heard lately have merely been promises not decisions and hence a
PEFO will not be required.
The Opposition parties have until 6th March to
release their fiscal strategies. The fiscal statement needs to be based on
sound fiscal management. The principles are set out in the Act so Mr Hodgman
and Mr McKim’s won’t have far to look.
One issue that Mr Hodgman in particular will need
to address is the risks associated with the erosion of the tax base (Clause
3(2) (b) in Schedule 1) given his proposal to abolish land tax. Land tax
provided a stable base which withstood the ravages of the GFC. Without it we
will be more vulnerable.
Mr McKim will have to address how he will overcome
the shortfall when gaming machine tax is abolished. It may well be a
commendable policy, but it will leave a shortfall.
To date everyone’s just been promising to spend,
spend, spend, without any regard to the bank balance, which on latest
Government figures will fall to $300 million in 3 1/2 years time. No one seems
to be too worried about our fiscal position. Every day another wish is granted,
it’s like all parties have gained access to Santa’s mailbox, and are gradually
opening the ‘Dear Santa’ letters.
Glancing at the TV news last night I swear I saw Mr
McKim promise fresh fruit for schoolchildren. Only $8 million pa. But that’s
$32 million over the period of the forward estimates. We’ve only got $300
million Nick. And remember there’s supposed to be $1,500 million in the
Superannuation Provision A/c that you’re yet to say anything about. Saving it
up for the fiscal strategy statement maybe? Or maybe because none of the
obligations outlined in the Act are enforceable in judicial or other
proceedings, it’s easy to keep making promises. But that’s hardly in keeping
with the spirit of the law.
It will be interesting to see how well equipped the
Opposition parties are to prepare a fiscal strategy. To date there’s been no
evidence of any integrated plans. Just a mish mash of promises. Those preparing
and framing policies at this stage seem to be outnumbered by the mindless
minders.
Not only do Mr Hodgman and Mr McKim have a
statutory responsibility to detail a strategy, it is incumbent on them to
outline an alternative after all they’ve been saying about the Government’s
shortcomings. Start telling us how the State will continue to raise its share
of revenue, not just how you’re going to spend it.
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