The federal
election scheduled for September means it's a double header over the next 12 months
for Tasmanian voters, with a state election due in March 2014. That means lots
of Canberra visitors, lots of promises and at least a few presents, and this
might be one: according to The Weekend Australian, Julia
Gillard is yet to rule out assistance to get the Tamar Valley pulp mill off the
ground.
Coincidentally,
Gunns' voluntary administrator also recently circulated his detailed report to
creditors (Gunns planned to build the original pulp mill).
The pattern of
behaviour of the Gunns Group over its last 12 months suggests it was insolvent
for a while. Maybe it was insolvent as far back as August 2011, when Gillard
and Premier Lara Giddings signed the inter-government agreement on forestry,
promising $276 million in funding -- some of which was used to save Gunns.
Unsurprisingly,
the administrator has recommended liquidating the Gunns Group. A further period
of administration won’t revive the patient. Even before the administrator was
appointed, Gunns had disclosed that liabilities exceeded assets. But it gets
worse.
Employees'
benefits of $10 million will be paid, but secured creditors won’t be paid the
full $636 million they are owed -- including $446 million owed to the banks.
Unsecured creditors, collectively owed $135 million, will remain penniless.
Once
liquidation is the chosen path, voluntary administrators often produce a
perfunctory report to discharge their statutory obligation. The task of
pursuing miscreant directors is one for the liquidator. In this instance the
administrator has shone the torch in a few dark corners requiring closer
inspection by a liquidator.
Gunns, true to
form for any company trying to scrape up enough to keep the wolves at bay,
managed to mix up its own funds with funds belonging to others, possibly as
much as $50 million.
As responsible
entity for 18 managed investment schemes, the Gunns Group receives growers’
harvest proceeds and also insurance amounts from growers that need to be
remitted to the relevant insurer. The Gunns Group used these amounts as working
capital.
But more
significant was the use by Gunns of funds from the sale of Green Triangle land
and trees. Some of the trees belonged to others and were secured by a covenant.
Covenant holders have already obtained a preliminary court judgment that
certain amounts belong to them and shouldn’t form part of Gunns’ kitty to be
split between creditors. At this stage the list of unsecured creditors contains
an amount of $39 million owing to Australian Executor Trustees, the trustees
for the covenant holders.
The voluntary
administrator also identified a number of voidable transactions, or payments by
Gunns that might be reversible depending on the crucial date of insolvency.
Clearly Gunns
was insolvent when it approached the banks in September 2012 on bended knees
and asked to be able to retain a little more from asset sales and also
"that a debt compromise of a material portion of their debt was required
to remain viable", to quote the administrator.
Gunns was
probably insolvent when it received a significant downward revaluation of
plantation assets early in July 2012, making asset sales pointless and raising
capital almost impossible. And it might have been insolvent in March 2012 when
white knight Richard Chandler Corporation exited the data lock-up after half an
hour and headed back to Singapore.
But Gunns
might have been insolvent as early as September 2011, when it received $23
million of inter-government agreement cash. There was $23 million earmarked in
the agreement to compensate Gunns, even though it had previously relinquished
its contracts, a decision it quickly reversed when a bucket of money loomed as
a possibility. The original plan was to pay Gunns $23 million provided the
company agreed to pay half to state-owned Forestry Tasmania for amounts owing,
as Forestry Tasmania was also insolvent.
Gunns dug its
heels in, knowing it was in a good bargaining position as the IGA might fall
over, and demanded the full $23 million. Funds for Forestry Tasmania had to be
found from elsewhere.
Gunns needed
the money pronto to make a $10 million loan repayment to banks and to start
pulp mill earthworks, or else the mill permit would become null and void. It
couldn't borrow or raise more equity, asset sales were slow with prices
continually falling and bank loans of $340 million were repayable in a few
months.
If Tom
Waterhouse was running a book on the date of insolvency, August 2011 would be
well in the market.
Gillard and
Giddings bailed out an insolvent company. Industry policy is indeed quite
accommodating. It proved to be a postponement of the inevitable.
The
postponement has meant a delay in the restructure of the forest industry and a
continuation of mutual mistrust, as inevitably many see the inter-government
agreement as simply a front for getting the pulp mill started.
Even now the
state's upper house is still deciding whether to pass the Tasmanian
Forests Agreement Bill, 18 months after the first tranche of cash
disappeared into a sinkhole.
The cavalier
way Tasmania begs for federal funds then absolutely wastes so much without the
slightest concern for due diligence is an embarrassment. Hinting that pie-in-the-sky
projects are still possible when the Tasmanian forest industry has just
suffered balance sheet losses in excess of $2.5 billion -- and 150,000 hectares
of plantations are looking for new owners after existing owners have lost 90%
-- is mischievous stupidity.
(Published in Crikey 5th March 2013)
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