Reports
about the end of the age of entitlement are greatly exaggerated.
Hobart’s
Mercury newspaper reported Deal close on $38 million Hobart International Airport bonanza
Describing
the handout as government assistance to upgrade vital public infrastructure
masks the reality that it’s a bailout of a private company brought to its knees
by the rapacious behaviour of the airport manager Macquarie Bank.
SPC
Ardmona asked for $25 million from the Australian government for factory upgrading
in addition to $25 million from the Victorian government and $90 million from
its own coffers. The financial strength of SPC’s parent Coca Cola Amatil was a
factor in the Australian government’s refusal to accede to SPC’s request.
The
assistance offered the Hobart Airport will comprise the bulk of the funds
required for the airport upgrade and overlooks the ability of managers to raise
funds elsewhere, not to mention turning a blind eye to events which
necessitated the bail out.
A
Macquarie syndicate paid $352 million for the airport when it was privatised
early in 2008, reportedly more than twice as much as the next highest bidder.
Half the funds were borrowed via a 15 year fixed rate facility. Syndicate
members contributed $200 million.
Macquarie
wasn’t fussed about paying too much, it makes its money from management fees,
financing and deal making.
The
airport in 2008 was a modest affair, a turnover of about $20 million, cash earnings
before interest of about $12 million.
In
2013 the airport’s turnover had shown steady growth to about $33 million and
cash earnings before finance costs of $21 million.
Over
the first 5 ½ years cash earnings totalled about $90 million.
Unfortunately
this was nowhere near enough to cover the fees and charges of $173 million,
almost twice the cash earnings for the period, organised by the paper shufflers
from Martin Place.
Included
were advisory fees at establishment, costs to arrange finance and refinance, monthly
management fees, interest costs and a staggering $74 million as an early exit
fee from the 15 year fixed interest arrangement due to the halving of interest
rates.
New
capex of $39 million over the period required further borrowings.
Crunch
time came late in 2012 when syndicate members contributed further equity of $121
million, enough to cover the cash losses and reduce borrowings back to $158
million, only slightly below the level at the beginning of their misadventure
with Macquarie.
Not
quite enough however to cover the costs of a runway extension.
Fortunately
a federal election beckoned and the battle for the hearts and minds of voters of
Franklin, which includes the airport, and those in the adjacent electorate of Denison,
made it easy to extract a $38 million promise from Tony Abbott.
Similar
to the $16 million for Cadburys, now justified as essentially an investment in
tourism infrastructure.
Privatising
infrastructure was supposed to bring private sector efficiencies.
In
a perverse way this has happened. The ruthless efficiency of financiers and
investment bankers extracting fees and charges equal to twice cash earnings has
been a peerless performance.
Privatising
public assets especially those with monopolistic characteristics has less
appeal in small states like Tasmania. There are limits which a monopolist can
charge for Hobart airport services. Providers will choose not to come if they
can’t pass on higher charges to passengers, who won't come if fares are too high.
There
are no guarantees a privatised infrastructure provider’s interests will
coincide with those of the community it services.
A
classic case of the same phenomena was a privatised Tas Rail which was allowed
by private owners Pacific National to deteriorate almost beyond repair. As a
vital piece of infrastructure holding the government to ransom and forcing it to
reacquire the business at an inflated price was easy. Since then the Australian
government and to a lesser extent the Tasmanian government have invested
hundreds of $ millions into Tas Rail to keep it afloat.
The
government may well end up effectively owning the airport. Macquarie Global
Infrastructure Funds which own 50.1% of the syndicate are closed-end funds due
to be wound up in 2018. The most likely buyer of their airport share is the 49.9%
minority interest holder, the Tasmanian government’s Retirement Benefit Fund
(RBF).
However
RBF is a small fund by industry standards with a little over $4 billion under
management. It is facing declining prospects as it’s not an APRA regulated public offer fund and therefore is limited in its ability to attract more
members.
The
second stage of a review of RBF’s future is now underway. The most likely
outcome is that the newer accumulation part of RBF will transfer to another public
offer fund leaving RBF with only $1.6 billion in funds in the now closed
defined benefits scheme used to pay members’ share of benefits. The government’s
benefits share, currently 75%, is funded out of consolidated revenue on an
emerging cost basis.
The
airport investment will almost certainly stay with RBF.
If
RBF has to further acquire the remaining 50.1% airport interest in 4 year’s
time from its partner it will do so at a value no doubt boosted by an expanded
facility funded by the proposed $38 million Australian government assistance.
But
it will be the Tasmanian government as implicit backer of the much smaller RBF
that will effectively have to fork out to fund the purchase.
At
that stage it will probably need another Australian government grant.
The rich ripping off the poor with the explicit support of the State and Federal Governments. Now that is a good economic model. Go Tassie! Go Aussie!
ReplyDeleteWhat Abbott and Hockey actually meant by the "end of the age of entitlement" was entitlements for the poor. Entitlements for the rich will be expanded and increased, including knighthoods and damehoods just to highlight the fact we are entering a new feudal age.
ReplyDeleteActually John can you tell us if there is any area of public administration in Tasmania that is working properly from a financial viewpoint, or are we just living in a complete and total basketcase? Tough question I know....
ReplyDeleteExcellent analysis John. I would love to see this worked up and republished in the AFR as a "cautionary tale".
ReplyDeleteYou mention "New capex of $39 million over the period". CAPEX on what? The airport is poorly equipped in many respects - still no airbridges and covered walkways to the rental cars. What a way for an Australian capital city to greet visitors on a wet and windy night. You might as well have landed at Boggabri. Totally pathetic.