Great Southern heads further South

Great Southern (GSL)continues its search for cash to enable it to survive 2009 after a tumultuous decline in its fortunes during 2008.The Plan to purchase 6 tree projects and 2 cattle projects from investors in exchange for GSL shares was aborted in Dec 2008 when the value of GSL shares fell as low as 12.5 cents. GSL will try again to get approval from investors and shareholders in the last week of Jan 2009. The shares are currently trading at 17.5 cents, not much improvement.

This time the Independent Directors had no alternative but to recommend against the Plan in respect of the 1998 Project which is currently being harvested. 1998 investors can wait a few months to receive $2,300 cash or accept GSL’s offer of 4,606 GSL shares currently worth $800. No need for a calculator.

Race to the bottom

The MIS companies are continuing their inexorable journeys towards a catastrophe. Not all will survive intact.

Great Southern Plantations (GSL) seems to be at the head of the peloton at this stage.

Desperately trying to find some cash to pay the bills over the next few years GSL has been trying to persuade Woodlot investors to swap their trees for GSL shares so that when the trees are harvested GSL will get to keep 100% of the net harvest proceeds instead of giving 94.5% back to the Woodlot owners.

Collapse of MIS

LEONIE WOOD has written another revealing episode in The Age ( HERE ) concerning the collapse of Environinvest a MIS company which traded principally in Victoria. It’s interesting to read about the cast of characters involved in the real life drama.

CFMEU and the forest industry

One of the architects of current forestry policy, Mr O’Connor from the CFMEU has been quick to call for government assistance, as reported in The Australian dated 3rd November 2008. http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,,24591921-2702,00.html

The leader of the union representing forestry workers wants the Government to craft an industry plan similar to that which protects jobs and promotes growth in the car industry. It could use mechanisms such as grants and tax breaks for new investment to protect jobs and boost value adding, allowing the local industry to see off the threat of cheaper imports, Mr O’Connor said.

Sub prime MIS

Few would have thought 12 months ago that granting mortgages to a few borrowers who couldn’t afford the repayments, would lead to such world wide turmoil. But it was more than just a few borrowers. It was a few million.

The mortgage providers bundled the mortgages together and transferred them to other lenders. They were then repackaged, given an attractive credit rating, then on sold to investors and super funds all round the world. The investors thought they were buying a highly rated bond with an interest rate better than bank deposits, when in fact they were buying a collection of mortgages to borrowers with a high possibility of default.

Default is what occurred. With a large level of defaults, a lot of houses hit the market at once. House prices plummeted. Invertors’ bonds became worthless. The only recourse for investors was to sue those who sold the toxic product. But firms like Lehman Brothers declared themselves bankrupt. In Victoria alone it is estimated that local governments and other semi government bodies have lost $30m in this way.

We are now witnessing the same phenomena in our MIS industry.

A tale of Temma

 

 

 

 

 

THIS IS a tale about Temma, a tale about how a small historic plot of land has been exploited by distant landowners motivated by the excesses which have characterised the last few years.

It is a tale of failed public policy.

The death of MIS

Are we seeing the beginning of a change in the managed investment scheme (MIS) industry?

The question of whether or not the pulp mill will proceed has accounted for most of the recent attention directed at Gunns and the rest of the forest industry. Gunns announced a trading halt as they endeavoor to boost their balance sheet with $430 million of additional equity. Their ASX announcements released on 29th August make interesting reading.

But even more interesting were the ASX announcements by Great Southern Limited (GSL) issued last week at the end of their self imposed trading halt. GSL is involved in the forest industry as an MIS manager and an exporter of plantation woodchips as well as administering non forestry MIS projects involving cattle, olives almonds etc. Hence GSL is similar to Gunns in many respects.